ES · Trading Conditions
A separate execution-environment filter, not a directional forecast.
Today’s condition
Execution environment · separate from direction
CautionTrading Conditions
FOMC week · Caution
Connected calendar · Latest available
A tracked event is upcoming this week. Plan around scheduled releases; this is not a trade signal.
Prior-session range analysis is not connected yet.
Calendar data is sourced from a connected weekly export and may be incomplete or delayed.
Assessment: 2026-09-14 · PM · ET. Calendar checked: 2026-09-14T22:54:22.969Z
This week’s calendar
Tracked US releases · All times Eastern
Next tracked event this week: Core Retail Sales m/m
Wed, Sep 166 events
- Wed, Sep 16 · 08:30 ETNextUpcoming
Core Retail Sales m/m
Medium impactRetail Sales- Forecast:
- 0.5%
- Previous:
- -0.3%
- Wed, Sep 16 · 08:30 ETUpcoming
Retail Sales m/m
Medium impactRetail Sales- Forecast:
- 0.8%
- Previous:
- -0.6%
- Wed, Sep 16 · 14:00 ETUpcoming
Federal Funds Rate
High impactFOMC- Forecast:
- 4.00%
- Previous:
- 3.75%
- Wed, Sep 16 · 14:00 ETUpcoming
FOMC Economic Projections
High impactFOMC - Wed, Sep 16 · 14:00 ETUpcoming
FOMC Statement
High impactFOMC - Wed, Sep 16 · 14:30 ETUpcoming
FOMC Press Conference
High impactFOMC
Thu, Sep 171 event
- Thu, Sep 17 · 08:30 ETUpcoming
Unemployment Claims
Medium impactJobless Claims- Forecast:
- 208K
- Previous:
- 206K
A scheduled time passing does not confirm release completion. Unknown means timing or release status needs verification.
Week profile
FOMC week
Overlapping event weeks are evaluated together. More restrictive conditions take precedence.
Prior-day range
- Prior session
- Unknown
- Range (points)
- Unknown
- Percentile
- Unknown
- Lookback sessions
- Unknown
Session guidance
- A tracked event is upcoming this week. Plan around the scheduled release; current conditions are not a clearance to trade.
- Prior-session range analysis is not connected yet.
At or above the 95th range percentile: stand aside AM; PM remains reduced risk, not an automatic clearance.
Rule notes / how to read this
The weekly export has partial coverage. It refreshes for the new trading week and is cached for twelve hours within the week; provider cooldowns still apply. Manual records are used if the provider is unavailable. Prior-session price history is not connected. Unknown means inputs cannot support an assessment; it does not mean conditions are clean.
NFP: Monday/Tuesday can be cleaner; Wednesday becomes more cautious; Thursday is reduced risk; Friday requires confirmed release completion before post-news assessment.
CPI/PPI release sessions require post-news clarity. FOMC: Tuesday PM is cautious; Wednesday before release is stand aside; Thursday/Friday require normalization. Holiday weeks become more cautious later in the week.
Fed Chair speaking can distort initial moves. Avoid forcing trades during the event window.
Range guide: 80th percentile = caution; 90th = reduced risk; 95th = stand aside AM / reduced risk PM. At or below the 20th percentile is labeled compressed, without automatically changing the condition.
Priority: Unknown for incomplete data; otherwise Stand aside → Reduced risk → Post-news only → Caution → Clean. All reasons remain visible. AM/PM uses noon in New York, including daylight saving time.
Clean execution environment describes this rule framework only. Session structure still matters; outcomes are not assured. Educational information only; not financial advice or a trade recommendation. This does not change the market headline or evidence score.